Monday, May 14, 2012

Dowell Myers: Those born in California stay in California. Nevadans, not so much.

From Dowell's piece in Zocalo Public Square:

Do Californians really care how many New Yorkers move back to New York or on to Las Vegas? For the most part, no. What local residents care about is how many of our own friends, especially our children, leave the state. If native Californians start fleeing, then we know we are in trouble. So what do the data tell us on this?

California, in fact, holds its own. When it comes to retaining native sons and daughters, California has the fifth-strongest attraction of all 50 states. Among California-born adults who were at least 25 years of age and old enough to have moved away, fully 66.9 percent were still choosing to reside in the Golden State in 2007, the last year of high migration before the recession held people down. Texas, with 75.1 percent of native Texans still living in the state, has the strongest loyalty, and the other three rounding out the top five are Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Georgia. California’s top-five ranking is all the more impressive when you take into account the state’s high living costs and other negatives. We must have something going for us.

Nevada, as you can see here, ranks in the bottom five of states’ retention of native-born population, despite being touted as a beacon for those fleeing California. If you can’t hold your own, you’re not worth the chips you’re built on. On this key measure, California is a full house, Nevada a busted inside straight. And yet you’d never know how enticing California is for its native-born residents from the overwrought narratives.

This is indeed cheering news for those of us who live in California.  It is also striking how good Texas looks..again.


Dowell Family Team said...

I live in Kansas. My business partner was born and raised in California. He now lives in Kansas. My neighbor was born and raised in California, she now lives in Kansas. My wife's in best friend in Kansas married a Californian. Met a Californian couple on vacation in '94. They now live in Kansas. I do real estate and help relocate 1-2 families a month from California.

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Kurt Paulsen said...

And, of course I must point out that Wisconsin beats California! (No margins of erorr are reported on this data so I can't tell whether the difference is stat.sig). Wisconsin is the only state in the top 5 not typically thought of as having warm weather.

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